Could Boris Johnson lose his seat in next general elections? This is a question that would be laughable for any other prime ministerial defeat in his constituency in Uxbridge and South Ruislip is nothing out of the ordinary.
local elections in There was a significant shift towards Labor in London earlier this month. A YouGov poll this weekend suggests Johnson will lose his seat if an election is held tomorrow. An electoral calculation that analyzes national survey data is also tentatively favoring Labor win in West London constituency.
“He’s hanging on at the top, which pleases me to no end because he is such an unpopular guy right now,” said David Williams, chairman of Hillingdon workforce. “At the local level, he is not political asset – he didn’t show up in local elections. So I want see him go and I want him to stay at the same time is a very strange feeling.”
It would take a hefty punch to overcome Johnson’s 15 percent majority. But Williams said the constituency line changes will add Northolt to the place, a city he calls “strong Labor area”. Meanwhile, young passengers flock from inner London to outer districts, and Hillingdon is no exception, especially with a new Elizabeth Line Station in Johnson constituency.
Possibly the largest local issue this is future of Heathrow’s third runway. Conservative-controlled Hillingdon council also struggling with a deficit of £38m despite a deficit of £25m. government the rescue in March. One of solutions are build more housing that attracts more municipal taxpayers and section 106 payments from developers for new facilities.
But selective cost of development felt in places like Yavzli, battlefield in south of constituency. Labor, work took both seats on the council from Tories in May, fueled by opposition to the council plans replace library with a six-storey block of apartments and new library, with a little of it on car parking for Yusli Park. Swimming pool was demolished 14 years ago and the land is still vacant despite promises of a new sports complex. With threats from campaign groups of judicial reviews and protests, issue looks like it will pull on in next year and beyond that makes it a hot local issue for Johnson.
Debbie King, of yewsley.org campaign group said: “He will have big impact – yes just still forcefully.” Johnson’s responses so far have been neutral, but soon out against in plans will mean confrontation with Tory advisors who already blame downing street for them financial difficulties.
issue comes up on high level yevsley street. Outside branch of Wenzel’s the Bakers, Paula Grimes, a charity worker, feels betrayed by the council’s approach to swimming. pool and Yiewsley Park even though she voted for Johnson last time and do again. “There’s a lot of things are bigger than quarantine parties,” she said, mentioning Ukraine and rising food prices. “I do not think people could handle with a big change.”
Her partner, Daniel McGuinness, strongly disagrees. He resents Johnson decision for self-isolation during a pandemic. “I have absolutely no time for Any person,” he said. “He gives the impression of a jester. I struggled during lockdown.”
Johnson would be more pleased with the disagreement between Labor headquarters and Hillingdon’s headquarters. left- activists of the movement. Williams said that party it was difficult in local elections because they were not allowed to choose candidates shortly before the deadline for nominations. ” national party keeps back on us choice [parliamentary] candidate,” he said. No lack of strong contenders however. “Everyone wants to be a dragon-slaying knight.”
Senior Labor officials say Uxbridge and South Ruislip should be among the 125 seats that Labor will win if it wants to win a majority in the election. next elections. In fact, according to the electoral calculus, it would have gone to Labour, even if party not enough 25 seats of absolute majority.
However, prime ministers have a much broader personal vote than most deputies. According to Electoral Calculus founder Martin Baxter, Margaret Thatcher held Finchley comfortably despite the fact that, in theory, it was not a safe place. Johnson’s seat “looks competitive,” he said. “What probably won’t happen is that Johnson will lose his seat and the Conservatives will remain in power. The prime minister cannot lose his seat until the Conservatives lose their parliamentary majority.”
One senior tory familiar with in area said a huge upset “is possible” and Johnson could lose by assuming that the Liberal Tories who backed by David Cameron and Theresa May were deeply unimpressed with Prime Minister. However, he said notraditional Conservative voters still loved Johnson.
“It is fair to say that nowadays any person at any stage can in trouble, he said. “Anything possible. But the local council is conservative and popular. There is good activists there, and Johnson got more than 50% of in vote last time. I think economy will be a thing – and how people feel personally. it also possible that he doesn’t stand again if he goes.
But there are others options for Johnson. He could make a “chicken runand stand in another place, although this may be regarded as an admission of defeat – bad Watch for a prime minister. Assuming of of course, by the time next elections are rolling around, he’s still in No. 10.
